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arXiv:2606.01736 ★ 87 Jun 1, 2026

Argument Collapse: LLMs Squash a Range of Arguments into a Stock Set, and How to Fix It

Key result

65% of real people's arguments in NYT debates are unique: nobody else repeats them. For LLMs in default mode, only 3.4% are unique. Not because the model is dumb. Because it's trained to give "an answer for everyone": safe, balanced, offends no one. Diversified prompting gets you fundamentally different positions on a contested issue instead of yet another rehash of two or three obvious points: an explicit diversity instruction + a ban on repetition + a requirement for specific examples raise coverage to 50-55% of the human range of arguments.

01

TL;DR

Ask an LLM to generate arguments on a contested issue and by default it produces the same set of "safe" arguments, no matter which model you use. GPT, Claude, Gemini all converge on the same 2-3 generic positions, while real people in real debates reach fundamentally different conclusions.

The headline finding: among essays written by people in NYT debates, 65% of the main arguments are unique: nobody else in the same debate makes them. For LLMs in default mode, that figure is 3.4%. In other words, the models almost always repeat each other. The cause isn't stupidity but caution: models are trained to give broadly applicable, balanced answers that won't offend anyone. So instead of sharp, specific arguments you get "smooth talking points for everyone," which the researchers call argument collapse.

If you explicitly ask the LLM to "generate diverse arguments" (diversified prompting), things improve, but not dramatically: a typical model recovers 50-55% of the argument space that humans cover. If you also give the model a specific position and role (position-guided prompting), coverage grows a bit more, but still falls short of human level. The study gives you three working tools against the problem.

Want this for your own case? Apply this study to your task: AI adapts its method to what you are working on and writes the prompt.

02

Method Blueprint

Three modes of argument generation, from weakest to strongest:

MODE 1 (Vanilla: don't use it for brainstorming):
Question → one answer → collapse into 2-3 stock arguments

MODE 2 (Diversified: your main tool):
Question + instruction "make the arguments as diverse as possible" 
→ a set of N essays in one request
→ uniqueness rises to ~50-65% of human level

MODE 3 (Position-guided: for depth):
Question + specific position + character role + tone
→ one essay from that character's point of view
→ more specific sub-arguments, fewer clichés

BOOSTER (several models):
A pool of several different LLMs → 73.9% coverage of the argument space

All three modes work in a regular chat, with no code or API.

03

Example in Practice

Task: You're preparing a pitch for investors at a startup competition. You want to collect, in advance, every objection that could come at you from different directions, from skeptics to sympathizers.

Prompt:

Here is my business idea: [short description of the startup, 2-3 sentences].

Generate 7 different critical objections to this idea. 

Diversity requirements:
— Each objection must rest on a fundamentally different 
  type of argument (market, operational, ethical, 
  regulatory, behavioral, competitive, timing)
— Vary the strength of the position: from mild skepticism to a flat no
— Vary the source of the objection: different types of investors 
  (technologist, finance person, industry expert, ESG investor)
— Each objection must include a specific example or 
  precedent, not an abstract principle
— Do NOT repeat the same problem in different wording

Format: 7 numbered blocks. 
Each block: [Investor type] + [Objection] + [Specific example].

Result: The model will produce 7 structured blocks with fundamentally different angles of attack. Each block is tied to an investor type and contains a specific precedent. You'll see objections you hadn't thought of yourself, especially from "non-standard" roles like the ESG investor or the regulatory expert.

04

Why It Works

LLMs are trained not to argue. The model is tuned to give balanced answers that suit most people in most contexts. That means it gravitates toward arguments that are "always true": abstract, vague, hard to refute. "We need to invest in comprehensive support" sounds smart but says nothing.

Specificity is the strength of human arguments. People in real debates cite specific cases ("Hurricane Sandy showed that..."), name numbers ("half of federal prisoners are in for drug offenses"), and propose precise solutions ("bike lanes with a physical curb separator"). An LLM in default mode writes "research shows" and "a global framework is needed," with zero specifics.

Diversified prompting breaks this reflex: the explicit instruction "be as diverse as possible" switches the model into a mode where it has to look for less obvious arguments. Position-guided adds another layer: tying it to a specific role and position forces the model away from safe generalizations. But neither method solves the problem completely, and knowing that matters so you don't overrate the results of brainstorming with an LLM.

Control levers: - Number of arguments → more = more pressure toward diversity, but more repeated ideas too - An explicit ban on repetition → "don't repeat the same problem" helps a lot - Specificity as a requirement → "include a specific example or precedent" changes the quality - Different models for the same question → a pool of Claude + GPT + Gemini gives ~74% coverage instead of 50-55% from one

05

Prompt Template

Diversified Template (main)

Topic to analyze: {topic or question}

Generate {number} different {essays / arguments / positions} on this topic.

Diversity requirements:
— Vary the central claim of each {essay/argument}: 
  they must defend fundamentally different positions
— Vary the type of supporting arguments: 
  {list of types for your task, e.g. factual, 
  ethical, economic, historical, personal}
— Vary the angle of attack: 
  from {extreme position A} to {extreme position B}
— Vary the type of speaker: 
  {list of roles, e.g. expert, skeptic, practitioner, 
  affected person, reformer}
— Each argument must contain a specific example 
  or precedent, no abstractions or generalizations
— Do NOT repeat the same idea in different wording

Format: {number} numbered blocks.
Each block: [Speaker role] + [Main claim] + [Specific example].

Placeholders: - {topic}: the question or problem to analyze - {number}: 5-10 for brainstorming, no more than 10 (quality drops) - {list of types}: match to your domain: for business (market, operational, regulatory), for ethics (principled, utilitarian, legal) - {list of roles}: concrete roles, not abstract ones

Position-Guided Template (for a specific position)

Topic: {topic or question}

Write as the following person:
— Main position: {the specific claim they defend}
— Role and context: {who this person is, their background}
— Tone: {how they talk: blunt, academic, personal}

Task: develop this position through specific sub-arguments, 
examples and cases. Don't drift into generalizations. Avoid hedging 
("on the one hand... on the other hand"). 
Speak directly and specifically.

🚀 Quick start: paste this into the chat:

Here's a template for getting diverse arguments without collapsing 
into stock answers. Adapt it to my task: {your task}.
Ask clarifying questions to fill in the fields.

[paste the template above]

The LLM will ask about the topic, how many arguments you need and what kinds of roles, because without that information it can't build the right diversity structure. It will take the pattern from the template and adapt it to your task.

06

Limitations

⚠️ The diversification ceiling: Even with an explicit "be diverse" instruction, a single model recovers about half of the argument space humans cover. The rest (niche, situational, minority-view positions) the model systematically misses.

⚠️ The specificity problem doesn't solve itself: Without an explicit requirement ("give a specific example, not an abstraction"), the LLM slides back to "research shows" and "a systemic approach is needed." You have to state the requirement explicitly every time.

⚠️ Weak stances persist: Even in diversified mode, LLMs take a strong, unambiguous position less often: about 66% of answers versus 76% for humans. Models lean toward "on the one hand... but on the other..." even when the task asks for the opposite.

⚠️ You can't verify completeness: You don't know which arguments the model missed. That's a real problem in brainstorming: it feels like you've covered everything, when in fact you've missed a third.

07

How They Studied It

The researchers took two datasets of real public debates: 1,039 essays from 195 NYT Room for Debate discussions (short format, ~350 words) and 448 essays from 61 Boston Review forums (long format, ~1,150 words). For each debate they generated responses from five frontier models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek, Minimax) in three modes. That's 23,381 LLM essays versus ~1,500 human ones.

The most interesting methodological move is how they measured a unique argument. Two arguments counted as "the same" if they substantially overlapped in meaning (not in wording). The team manually validated the classifier on 100 pairs with two independent annotators, with about 80% agreement on a coarse scale. This matters: they measured collapse in meaning, not literal repetition of words.

A counterintuitive finding: diversified mode sometimes generates arguments that none of the humans in the debate made (40-52% of arguments don't overlap with human ones). That doesn't mean they're better; more likely the LLM drifts into "logically possible but not relevant" options. People talk about what actually matters to them; the LLM generates what follows logically from the question. Those are different things.

The study confirmed the same pattern on the long Boston Review essays: sub-argument uniqueness is 42% for humans and 16% for LLMs. Collapse doesn't depend on text length; it's a systematic behavioral pattern of the models.

08

Original from the Paper

Diversified prompt (from the source code):

===== ESSAY 1 =====
[essay content]
===== ESSAY 2 =====
[essay content]
...

The diversified instruction: the model was asked to generate N essays in one call, where it was explicitly required to vary central claims, supporting arguments, argumentative flow and discourse moves "as widely as possible". Output used ===== ESSAY N ===== markers rather than JSON, because with JSON several models truncated or dropped essays.

Context: The researchers chose the marker format specifically so they wouldn't lose diversity to the technical limits of structured output.

09

Adaptations and Extrapolations

💡 Adaptation: Audit the Arguments in Someone Else's Piece

Once you've been handed someone else's material (an article, a presentation, a pitch deck), ask the LLM to find the arguments that aren't there:

Here is {type of material}: {text or summary}

The author defends this position: {main claim}.

Generate 5 arguments supporting the same position 
that the author did NOT use. Each one must:
— Rest on a different type of evidence (historical precedent, 
  statistics, a specific case, a principle, an analogy from another field)
— Contain a specific example, not an abstraction
— Not repeat logic already used in the text

This works as a "blind-spot audit": you find what the author missed because of the same argument collapse.


🔧 Technique: Several Models → Maximum Coverage

The study showed that a pool of five diversified models covers 73.9% of the argument space, while a single model covers only 50-55%.

In practice: if the question matters, run the same diversified prompt in ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini. Merge the results. It's quick and free if you already have subscriptions.

[The same diversified prompt → into three different chats]

Then:
"Here are arguments from three sources: {list}. 
Remove duplicates. Group the rest by type. 
Mark the ones that appeared only once: those are the rare positions."

🔧 Technique: Force Specificity by Banning Abstractions

Add this to any argument-generation prompt:

Specificity rules (mandatory):
— Every argument must name a specific case, company, 
  person, event or number
— Forbidden: "research shows," "experts believe," 
  "a systemic solution is needed"
— If there's no specific example, invent a hypothetical scenario 
  with concrete details, but label it as hypothetical
10

Resources

Paper: Argument Collapse: LLMs Flatten Long-Form Public Debate
Code and data: github.com/mungg/argument_collapse
Authors: Yekyung Kim, Yapei Chang, Chau Minh Pham, Mohit Iyyer
Institution: University of Maryland, College Park
Datasets: NYT Room for Debate, Boston Review

Research digest

Key result

65% of real people's arguments in NYT debates are unique: nobody else repeats them. For LLMs in default mode, only 3.4% are unique. Not because the model is dumb. Because it's trained to give "an answer for everyone": safe, balanced, offends no one. Diversified prompting gets you fundamentally different positions on a contested issue instead of yet another rehash of two or three obvious points: an explicit diversity instruction + a ban on repetition + a requirement for specific examples raise coverage to 50-55% of the human range of arguments.

Principle

LLMs gravitate toward arguments that are "always true": abstract, hard to refute, convenient. "A comprehensive solution is needed" sounds smart and means nothing. Diversified prompting breaks this reflex: an explicit diversity instruction forces the model to look for less obvious angles, because the "obvious" ones are already taken. Next comes position-guided: you tie it to a specific role and position. The model switches off its "on the one hand... but on the other" mode and starts speaking directly. A pool of several different models (Claude + GPT + Gemini) raises coverage to 73.9%: each model drifts toward its own clichés, and together they cover more ground.

Why it works

People in debates name specific numbers and cases. "Hurricane Sandy showed that..." or "half of prisoners are in for drug offenses." An LLM without instructions writes "research shows" and "a global approach is needed." Two different genres, not two different levels of intelligence. Ban repetition + require a specific example in every argument, and the model stops drifting into generalizations. This was confirmed on 23,381 LLM essays versus ~1,500 human ones from the NYT and Boston Review. Human sub-arguments are unique 42% of the time; LLM ones, 16%. Collapse doesn't depend on text length: it's the same in short (~350 words) and long (~1,150 words) formats. A systematic pattern, not a fluke.

When to apply

Brainstorms before pitches, negotiations, debates → specifically for finding unconventional objections, especially when you're afraid of missing a niche but killer position. Risk analysis and scenario planning → for going beyond the obvious scenarios. Prepping for tough questions → when the other side might come at you from an unexpected angle. NOT a fit for tasks that need one clear recommendation: the method deliberately generates conflicting positions and creates an illusion of completeness. Keep in mind: even with the best prompt, the model systematically misses minority-view arguments, the ones that matter to real people but don't follow logically from how the question is worded.

Mini recipe

1. Make the topic specific: not "education" but "should compulsory high school be abolished" 2. Set a number: 5-10 arguments. Beyond 10, quality drops and the model starts repeating itself 3. List argument types for your domain: for business, market, operational, regulatory; for ethics, principled, practical, legal 4. Give concrete speaker roles, not abstract ones: not "different people" but "practitioner, skeptic, affected person, reformer, industry expert" 5. Ban repetition explicitly: `Do NOT repeat the same idea in different wording` 6. Demand specifics: `every argument comes with a specific example or precedent, not an abstraction` 7. For maximum coverage: run the same prompt through 2-3 different models and merge the results by hand

Examples

[BAD]: `Give arguments for and against a four-day work week` [GOOD]: `On the topic of a four-day work week, generate 7 arguments. Vary the type of argument: economic, legal, psychological, industry-specific, historical, feminist, technological. Vary the position: from mild skepticism to hard opposition. Vary the speaker: a top manager at a manufacturing plant, the HR director of a tech company, a union leader, a single mother, an IMF economist, a small business owner, a workplace burnout researcher. Each argument comes with a specific real-world example or precedent. Do NOT repeat the same problem in different wording. Format: 7 numbered blocks. Each block: [Role] + [Main claim] + [Specific case].`

In plain words

In a debate, AI models behave like spineless politicians before an election: they're afraid of stepping on anyone's toes, so they end up saying nothing of substance. The fundamental problem is that LLMs suffer from argument collapse. Instead of honestly working through a conflict from different sides, the models squash the whole range of human opinion into two or three sterile, identical talking points. GPT, Claude and Gemini are different brands, but inside each one sits the same averaged-out conformist handing you "safe" filler instead of a real discussion.

It's like asking a group of friends to pick a restaurant, and instead of suggesting steak or sushi, they all chime in: "The main thing is that the food is good and everyone likes it." Technically they're right, but in practice it's useless noise. Real people in a debate usually scatter to different corners of the ring, while the model stubbornly crowds into the center, trying to please everyone at once and not say anything risky.

To squeeze something useful out of the model, the researchers identified three modes. The first is the basic default, where you get exactly that fluff. The second is role-play, where you make the model pretend to be a hardcore supporter or opponent of an idea. The third is structured synthesis, where the model has to do more than "chat" and deliver specific arguments against set criteria. Without these crutches, the model just flops, handing you abstract slogans instead of deep analysis.

The principle is universal: if you use AI to prep for a pitch or a brainstorm, remember that by default it will give you a list of platitudes. They tested it on public debates, but it applies to any complex question, from picking a business strategy to writing a blog column. If you don't push the model and give it firm boundaries, you'll get text that seems fine but is actually completely empty and predictable.

Bottom line: LLMs are by nature agreement machines, not tools for finding the truth in an argument. If you want sharp edges and real critique, never take the first answer at face value. You need to either assign roles firmly or use GEO and deep prompting methods, or your content will end up as flat and boring as everyone else's. Models are trained not to argue but to survive within guardrails, and that fear of being wrong kills any usefulness they have for serious analysis.

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Based on Argument Collapse: LLMs Squash a Range of Arguments into a Stock Set, and How to Fix It arXiv:2606.01736

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